Russians miscalculate ATACMS threat, build shelters in vain
The Russians constructed shelters for aircraft in Kursk, anticipating ATACMS attacks. This work began in October 2024, a few weeks before the official U.S. approval for ATACMS strikes on Russian territory.
However, the Russian Federation encountered a problem: the military was preparing for ATACMS missile strikes in the wrong location. The Ukrainian service Defense Express notes that the Russians initiated the construction of fortified hangars at an airport near Kursk several weeks before the U.S. approval was announced. Still, the Ukrainians targeted an entirely different location.
Work at the airport several weeks before U.S. approval
Construction of shelters at the Chalino airport commenced in October 2024. At least five hangars were completed. In 2022, this airport had no hangars for military aircraft, although it had been a dual-use facility before the war with Ukraine.
Defense Express points out that the Russian military command anticipated potential ATACMS attacks would have geographical limitations, focusing mainly on tactical aviation airports. They reinforced the airbase near Kursk, but the intended target was in a different area. Contrary to Russian expectations, the ATACMS missiles struck the Bryansk region, where no prior fortifications had been made.
Delays in shelter construction
Despite recognizing the threat of ATACMS attacks, the Russians did not fully perceive it as urgent. Despite earlier reports about plans to build shelters, the delay in constructing shelters reflects this attitude.
As early as July 2024, Russian war correspondents reported on the decision to build shelters at tactical aviation airports. However, the construction process only commenced several months later, indicating a lack of urgency in their response.
ATACMS in Ukraine
One of the significant challenges posed by ATACMS missiles is their range of up to 186 miles and their ability to hit targets accurately. Covering this distance in just a few minutes, at speeds reaching Mach 3 (over 2,237 mph), makes them extremely difficult to intercept.
Furthermore, effective defence systems are scarce and unable to stop these fast ballistic missiles, and their impact radius extends hundreds of feet. Such technical capabilities render ATACMS not only a tactical tool but also a strategic one, capable of influencing the entire war dynamics.
