Russia's secret plans: A divided Ukraine and a "neutral" Kyiv
The Main Intelligence Directorate (HUR) of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine is aware of a document prepared in Russia that forecasts the military-political situation worldwide until the year 2045. This document predicts the division of Ukraine's territory into three parts, according to HUR deputy chief Vadym Skibitsky.
Skibitsky stated, "First of all, the Main Intelligence Agency of the Ministry of Defense is familiar with this document. Moreover, this document was prepared by the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff of the Russian armed forces around December last year. This document forms the basis for long-term defence planning for a certain period of time – at least ten years. In particular, this document was developed for the period 2026-2035 with a perspective up to 2045," in a comment to Interfax-Ukraine on Friday.
He added that the document addresses the further development of the situation both globally and regionally, as well as the threats Russia perceives in the future security environment.
Russia aims to pursue a "solution" to the Ukraine issue
Skibitsky also highlighted that, during the annual YES meeting, the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kyrylo Budanov, presented some elements of this document. Lieutenant General Budanov indicated that Russia aims for a "solution" to the Ukraine issue by 2026, as recorded in the discussed Russian document. According to HUR, this is because a prolonged war would affect all aspects of Russian life—economic, demographic, image, and others.
Regarding the potential division of Ukraine, the general noted, "On the possible division of Ukraine. Undoubtedly, the strategic goal of Russia remains the complete occupation of our state," emphasizing that to have strong economic, demographic, territorial, and military potential, "Putin needs all of Ukraine."
Skibitsky explained, "This scenario of further development with a possible division of the territory is relevant not even for 2035-2045. It will already be relevant in the near future, for 2026, and maybe even earlier. You have heard Putin's statements regarding Ukrainian territories. He is already saying that Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, Zaporizhia regions and Crimea are supposedly Russian territories according to their constitution. And the published map already shows that the Russians perceive the occupied Ukrainian territories as new territories of Russia," he added.
"Neutral" government in Kyiv
HUR confirmed that the document also includes a plan to establish a pro-Russian government in Kyiv or one that is obligatorily "neutral," meaning it will not join NATO.
Skibitsky noted, "This is all an analysis and assessment by the Russians. We see how quickly they can change their plans depending on their success, the reaction of the international community and the development of the situation," adding that the Kremlin has already analyzed the threats that will concern Russia until 2050.
In response to whether the Russians might try to communicate this document to the USA through other countries, Skibitsky stated that such a threat exists. According to him, there is currently no information that this document has been shared elsewhere, but it cannot be ruled out.
