Ukraine's resilience: Can Europe support shield from Russia?
Former Defense Minister of Ukraine, Andriy Zagorodniuk, emphasizes in "Foreign Affairs" that Ukraine can survive without U.S. assistance. However, this is contingent upon Europe maintaining its support.
In an article published in "Foreign Affairs," Zagorodniuk expressed his belief that Ukraine is capable of surviving without military support from the United States, provided that Europe does not withdraw its commitment. He points out that even if the U.S. halts its assistance, Ukraine will not fall, and Russia will not achieve its key objectives.
Putin will be able to achieve some tactical breakthroughs but will not reach his maximalist objectives. A U.S. government aligning with Russia in ways that actively undermine Ukraine’s fight would be a truly shocking development—one that would shatter trust in the United States and irreparably fracture the Western alliance, wrote Zagorodniuk.
Zagorodniuk emphasizes that maintaining strong support from Europe is crucial for Ukraine. This support would allow Ukraine to reduce its dependence on infantry and develop modern defensive capabilities. The introduction of technologies such as a "drone line" could effectively prevent Russian forces from approaching the front lines.
The former minister notes that Russia, despite its resources, has not achieved its intended goals over the past three years of war. Ukraine, despite continuous attacks on its infrastructure, remains resilient and capable of preventing significant Russian advances.
Strategy towards Russia
Zagorodniuk suggests that the only way to force Russia to negotiate is to show it the serious consequences of continuing the war. Washington could tighten sanctions, putting pressure on the Russian economy. He indicates that a series of territorial losses could lead Putin to reconsider his strategy. Even a small territorial gain by Ukraine could trigger fears in the Kremlin about further losses.
Ukraine is not losing the war today, nor will it in the future, despite Russia’s size and considerable advantage in resources, emphasizes the former Ukrainian minister.
Zagorodniuk concludes that even a partial defeat for Russia would be a terrible prospect for Putin, which could prompt Moscow to de-escalate and seek ways to minimize damage. His article in "Foreign Affairs" shows that Ukraine, despite difficulties, is ready for challenges and has a chance to survive with the support of Europe.
